WIN TRIXIE
(3 doubles and 1 treble)
Burnley to beat Middlesbrough (
12/5 - add to bet slip)
Stoke to beat Liverpool (
3/1 - add to bet slip)
Swansea to beat West Ham (
27/10 - add to bet slip)
The treble is available at odds of
almost 50/1 with bet365. The trixie, however, will return at least three times the total stake if two selection land.
Based on the odds offered, the implied probability of all three selections landing is 2% (expect 1 full house win in every 50 attempts) and therefore it makes sense to play with sensible stakes.
Middlesbrough v Burnley
Middlesbrough have not won a single Premier League match since Christmas. Since then, they have collected just five points from a possible 39 available, scoring a total of just six goals in 13 games. They have scored fewer goals than any other side in the Premier League this season and they are currently languishing in the relegation zone, seven points adrift of safety. Burnley's status in the top flight appears relatively secure although their fantastic home form is largely responsible. Away from home, their results have been far from impressive and that is reflected by
odds of 12/5 for the away win on Saturday. It is hard to believe that Burnley will go the entire season without an away win and the trip to the Riverside represents their best opportunity to avoid exactly that.
Stoke v Liverpool
Stoke have only lost one of their last nine home league games (W4, D4) - a 2-1 defeat to leaders Chelsea courtesy of an 87th minute winner from Gary Cahill. They appear to be safe from relegation although one more win would all but confirm it and they will be keen to achieve that sooner rather than later. Liverpool's only away win since Christmas came in the shape of a 1-0 victory over Plymouth of League Two. Their record against the other sides in the top seven positions on the Premier League table is outstanding but they have already been beaten by the likes of Burnley, Bournemouth, Swansea, Hull and Wolves this season.
Odds of 3/1 are therefore extremely tempting for Stoke to record a surprise home win on Saturday.
West Ham v Swansea
West Ham have lost every one of their last five matches and, even at home, they have lost five of their last seven (W1, D1), conceding a total of 18 goals along the way. They are currently just five points clear of the relegation zone and Swansea will be desperate to reduce that gap with a win on Saturday. Swansea were unlucky to lose to Spurs in midweek having led for 77 minutes but they have already recorded victories over Liverpool, Southampton, Leicester and Burnley since Paul Clement replaced Bob Bradley as manager.
Odds of 27/10 are worth taking for the visitors to further increase the pressure on West Ham and Slaven Bilić this weekend.
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